RSF 'Shifts Ambitions to South' After Blue Nile Gains; Geissan Faces Imminent Assault Threat

Strategic analysis and field reports on March 30 indicated that after capturing Kurmuk (March 23), the RSF-SPLM-N alliance had shifted its focus southward in Blue Nile State, massing forces for a potential assault on Geissan (Qaysan district), approximately 200 km southeast of state capital Ed Damazin. Residents continued to flee Geissan toward Roseires (Al-Rusayris), with IOM recording at least 1,645 individuals (329 families) displaced from Qaysan since the military buildup began. The Emergency Chamber in Geissan issued urgent calls for safe humanitarian corridors. Analysts warned that a Geissan fall would directly threaten Ed Damazin and the Roseires Dam — Sudan's second-largest hydroelectric facility — potentially cutting electricity to much of central Sudan. Total displacement into Ed Damazin since the beginning of the Eid period had reached over 73,000 people. The SAF's 4th Infantry Division claimed to have repelled a separate RSF-SPLM-N attack in the Al-Kaili area of southern Blue Nile, reporting destruction of 4 enemy vehicles, 94 fighters killed, and several captured — figures that could not be independently verified.