Quaest Poll: Flávio Bolsonaro Leads Lula 46–44 in Second-Round Runoff

A new Quaest poll (Oct. 14) shows Flávio Bolsonaro at 46% versus President Lula at 44% in a hypothetical second-round presidential runoff — a statistical tie within the margin of error. The result signals a highly competitive 2026 election cycle, with the Bolsonaro family regrouping around Flávio as its standard-bearer after Jair's electoral disqualification.