Datafolha SP: Flávio Bolsonaro Edges Lula 39%–38% in São Paulo — Near-Tie in Brazil's Largest State

A Datafolha poll in São Paulo shows Flávio Bolsonaro narrowly ahead at 39% versus Lula at 38%, with Cury at 5%, Caiado at 4%, and Renan at 4%. The near-tie in Brazil's most electorally decisive state signals a highly competitive 2026 presidential race.