Datafolha Poll: Lula Holds Slim Lead Over Flávio Bolsonaro Amid Fresh Banco Master Revelations

A Datafolha poll of 2,002 voters surveyed September 22–23 showed President Lula leading Senator Flávio Bolsonaro 47% to 45% in a simulated runoff — again a technical tie within the 2-point margin of error — after fresh Banco Master scandal disclosures. Police data extracted from jailed banker Daniel Vorcaro's phone showed roughly $12.3 million routed to a Texas-based fund linked to Eduardo Bolsonaro, financing the pro-Jair-Bolsonaro film 'Dark Horse' and, prosecutors suspect, Flávio Bolsonaro's campaign operation. In the first round, Lula led 40% to 36%.